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Mark & Bev Preston (Markp)
Member
Username: Markp

Post Number: 153
Registered: 02-2002
Posted on Wednesday, March 12, 2003 - 06:05 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Found a good perspective on North Korea. The global chess game with some interesting outcomes.

North Korea is China's pit bull on a leash. Problem is, sometimes they bite the owner.

Beijing plans to use North Korea to help drive the US out of the Pacific
BrookesNews.Com ^ | 13 March 2003 | Peter Zhang
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/863262/posts

- Mark

 

Paul Grant (Paul_grant)
New Member
Username: Paul_grant

Post Number: 13
Registered: 03-2003
Posted on Wednesday, March 12, 2003 - 06:48 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Mark,
Are you trying to run me ragged by employing a multi-front debate! :-) I just logged on. I'll check your link a little later but its sounds like it'll be interesting.
Cheers,
Paul
 

Todd W. McLain (Ganryu)
Member
Username: Ganryu

Post Number: 143
Registered: 10-2002
Posted on Thursday, March 13, 2003 - 09:08 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Frankly, I think his the gentleman's theory is a bit far fetched. To say that the U.S. would be pushed out of Asia is pretty far fetched (especially out of Japan), but is he forgetting about the U.S. territories such as Saipan and Guam? He might want to look at the B-52 and B-1 squadrons that just moved to Anderson AFB at Guam. How about the fact that the Navy has recently re-activated their submarine base on Guam, which could be expaned from it's current contingent of 3 fast-attacks to also be the homeport for SSBNs.

As for pushing the U.S. out of Japan, it's never going to happen. The Navy will never agree to move their only forward deployed carrier group (yes, that pesky carrier that interferes everythime the Chinese navy decides it wants to bother Taiwan) all the way back to Hawaii and the Marines will never move off of Okinawa.

Realisticly, I know that it is the policy of the Japanese Ministry of Defense to keep the U.S. military as it is far cheaper to keep American forces on station then it is to build-up the JDF. Plus, it's cheaper for the U.S. since the Japanese government is footing the bill for the bases. Realisticly it's cheaper to keep a U.S. soldier/airman/marine here in Japan than it is at a stateside base.
 

Todd W. McLain (Ganryu)
Member
Username: Ganryu

Post Number: 144
Registered: 10-2002
Posted on Thursday, March 13, 2003 - 09:25 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Also, just as some food for thought, a friend and I were recently discussing what be a viable target for a single North Korean nuclear warhead.

All targets in South Korea are out. It would defeat the purpose of starting any war (land-grab).

Mainland Japan is pretty much out. While the naval facility at Yokuska or Sasebo might be tempting, it would have to come as a complete sneek attack, otherwise the Navy would have already sortied it's ships.

That pretty much leaves Okinawa (home-sweet-home). We figured that if they were to launch a single warhead, they could take one of the largest air bases in asia, as well as about 75% of the Marine force that's stationed here, who's main mission is to reinforce Korea should the North ever decide to cross the DMZ.

While that's pretty scary, the worst part was when we started thinking what would happen after that. I think it's almost a given that the U.S. would live up to it's treaty commitments and respond in kind, reducing some (if not all) of N.K. to ash and radioactive dust. But, we also figured that China would use such an opportunity to make a grab at Taiwan, among other things. So, the big question is, would the U.S. follow it's un-official policy and protect Taiwan, thereby putting us in a shooting war with the Chinese, or, would the U.S. follow the official line and turn a blind-eye. Given the current administration, I would have to probably say yes.

Hello World War III. I thought this nightmare ended with the fall of the Sofiet Union? And people think a war in Iraq would destabalize the world! Maybe, just maybe, this is why we should keep any more 2-bit dictators from getting their hands on such nasty-things.

Just my .02 of the currency of your choice.
 

Stacey R Abend (Srafj40)
New Member
Username: Srafj40

Post Number: 7
Registered: 03-2003
Posted on Thursday, March 13, 2003 - 10:32 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Todd,

A nice bit of war gaming. Isn't the Navy looking at a port in Vietnam?

Stacey
 

Mark & Bev Preston (Markp)
Member
Username: Markp

Post Number: 155
Registered: 02-2002
Posted on Thursday, March 13, 2003 - 01:39 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Todd,

Look at it from the Chinese side. I'm sure this is their aim, which is why the article is not so far fetched. To actually accomplish it is another. The point of the article is who controls North Korea and why are they rattling their swords? China has a role in this even though they claim they don't.

Your point of 2-bit dictators and WMD is very true.

- Mark
 

Paul Clawson (Pnut)
Member
Username: Pnut

Post Number: 56
Registered: 02-2003
Posted on Thursday, March 13, 2003 - 06:18 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

China is definitely secretive. they would never claim the above as their intentions. I think China will assist in holding down North Korea simply because they don't want competition. I heard one report that North Korea could hit Alaska or California. They would have to be stupid to try though as they would be turned into the biggest pot hole in Asia.
 

Stacey R Abend (Srafj40)
New Member
Username: Srafj40

Post Number: 9
Registered: 03-2003
Posted on Thursday, March 13, 2003 - 08:26 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Just so everyone does not think that I am a total wack job for uttering Vietnam and a possible U.S. return.

http://www.thongluan.org/EN2/NEWS/news_2001_feb-jun/01_06_12_VietnamSeesCommerci alFuture.htm

Still mulling all this over. What of Australia? Japan getting nukes?

Stacey
 

Todd W. McLain (Ganryu)
Member
Username: Ganryu

Post Number: 148
Registered: 10-2002
Posted on Thursday, March 13, 2003 - 10:11 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Stacey,

I don't think the Japanese would go for nuclear weapons being staged here. You should see them shit and raise a fuss everytime one of the nuclear-powered fast-attack submarines appears off the coast. The nippers (and don't nobody start flaming me for that remark, I live here, damnit!) run down to they bay and start taking water samples to make sure the bloody thing didn't leave any radiation in the water! This from the same people who feel free to dump all sorts of toxic chemicals in the water.
 

Stacey R Abend (Srafj40)
New Member
Username: Srafj40

Post Number: 11
Registered: 03-2003
Posted on Thursday, March 13, 2003 - 10:24 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Todd,

It is Nippon after all.

Stacey
 

Christopher Dynak (Adtoolco)
Member
Username: Adtoolco

Post Number: 105
Registered: 08-2002
Posted on Friday, March 14, 2003 - 08:48 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

I swear, I get more info on D-web than any news source out there. I love this BB.
 

Don Wilbanks (Asphaltgypsy)
New Member
Username: Asphaltgypsy

Post Number: 29
Registered: 06-2002
Posted on Friday, March 14, 2003 - 01:32 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

That was an interesting article-link Stacey. Like Christopher said, we get quite a bit of non-front page news here on DWeb!
 

Stacey R Abend (Srafj40)
New Member
Username: Srafj40

Post Number: 16
Registered: 03-2003
Posted on Friday, March 14, 2003 - 02:11 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Don,

You have to love Reuters and the BBC Overnight. If I recall the idea of Vietnam was a because of th Phillipines.

Stacey
 

Mark & Bev Preston (Markp)
Member
Username: Markp

Post Number: 162
Registered: 02-2002
Posted on Monday, March 17, 2003 - 12:52 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post

Stacey,

I think you will find this post on Vietnam interesting.

South Vietnam: Worthy Ally? (General Creighton Abrams Reassessing the ARVN)
thehistorynet ^ | 3-15-03 | Lewis Sorley
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/866256/posts

"Former Viet Cong Colonel Pham Xuan An described in 1990 his immense disillusionment with what a Communist victory had meant to Vietnam. "All that talk about ‘liberation' twenty, thirty, forty years ago," he lamented, "produced this, this impoverished, broken-down country led by a gang of cruel and paternalistic half-educated theorists." Former North Vietnamese Army Colonel Bui Tin has been equally candid about the outcome of the war, even for the victors. "It is too late for my generation," he said, "the generation of war, of victory, and betrayal. We won. We also lost."

I think you will find some very insightful opinions as part of the discussion.

-Mark

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